Growth of Digital Infrastructure of China and USA: Application of Intelligent Grey Forecasting Model

Mohamed Ouali; Beenish Ramzan; Muhammad Wasif Hanif; Ghulam Abbas  Bhatti; Muhammad Nawaz

doi:10.52812/ijgs.101

Authors

Mohamed Ouali Nanjing University
Beenish Ramzan GreySys Foundation
Muhammad Wasif Hanif Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics
Ghulam Abbas Bhatti Bath Spa University
Muhammad Nawaz Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.52812/ijgs.101

Keywords:

Grey forecast, time series forecasting, mobile cellular telephone subscriptions, internet servers, Grey Model

Abstract

Mobile cellular telephone subscriptions and secure internet servers play an important role in the digital infrastructure of the country, and their growth projections hold useful information for planners and policymakers. The current study makes a pioneering attempt to forecast the growth in mobile cellular subscriptions and secure internet servers in the United States of America and China using an intelligent and flexible time-series grey model called EGM (1,1, α, θ). Secure internet servers in the US and China are projected to grow exponentially, while mobile cellular subscriptions for both countries showed linear growth. The error analysis done through the mean absolute percentage error revealed some interesting results related to secure Internet servers. The results provide useful insights for proper planning of the digital infrastructure of the two digital powerhouses.

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